Saturday, January 16, 2010

Science Speaks "Satyam"

Holding a chalk on a blackboard reminisces our school days when our teacher taught us good things like discipline, values, ethics, how things should be, what we should and shouldn't be doing, etc in addition to arcane formulae and abstract theory. More than 25 years later, holding a marker pen on a whitehoard, when I narrate how should the processes and measures be designed for an organization to cope with emerging realities, I was being hailed as 'too theoretical' by 'street-smart' businessmen. It made me realize there are businessess (managers) that operate under the paradigm of 'here, now, action, quick-and-dirty-first-and-think-later'. Though a late revealation to me, this, I found is nothing unusual in today's quarter-to-quarter operations. Any non-linear System can be approximated to a number of linear 'short performance segments' between successive quarters. Technically sound enough, provided everyone has the sight on the ultimate big-picture--the System (organization and its interconnected processes) and its ultimate goal. How many of managers/leaders live long enough in organizations to strive for systems that span across divisions and years-and-quarters before they quit at their opportunite time? We can shrug it off by saying management is complex. No ? Am I sounding theoretical again? This time I can afford to be as I'm teaching the fundamentals of Systems to innocent-and-not-yet-street-smart young engineers in college. One of the first few lessons is classifying systems into various categories; what could be a better way to treat systems than by stretching across the two extremes of reality: Simple and Predictable ENGINEERING SYSTEMS and Complex and 'messy' HUMAN SYSTEMS.

We know the weird treatment we give to Systems in people-centric organizations: if something is successful, we jump up to take credit as our heroic effort ("I made the numbers or my team made it, I/we deserve the incentive".) When there's a down-turn or some disaster, we blame it on the invisible 'system'. Right? But what happens when there's already an identified 'guinea pig' the world/media portrayed as the 'villain', it is even more simple--defend the system (of course, we're still part of it) by 'blaming it on Rio?'

Now, we understand why Human Systems are complex whose behavious is subjective to multiple social/legal/culural/ethical interpretations. If there's a productivity fall of 15%, we attribute it to some manager's inefficiency and cut his incentives accordingly; if some employee misrepresented his tour-expenses and wrongly claimed Rs.1000 as excess amount, we paint him as integrity violator and fire him; and if some CEO misappropriated shareholders' money by faking accounts, we tem it as fraud and prefix it with self-satisfying superlatives and socially obstracize him. Inefficiency, integrity, fraud, minor frauid, major fraud, cheating,...terminologica inertia drives our reactions, when in fact, scientifically or systemically all mean one word (sans human attributed colour): systemic error. That's why we love engineering systems; however, complicated they might be (think of a mobile phone, A-380 aircraft, they all obey systems principles.) They do not have human biases. They learn from each other. For example, in the event of an air crash involving, say, A-380 aircraft with more than a million parts, we do not just fire the pilot or CEO of the company; instead, we examine the root-cause of the accident by thoroughly investigating the system (in the light of evidence provided by the flight's Black-Box) and identifying preventive measures (or fixing the troubled elements in the system) which become part of the LESSONS LEARNT and which get disseminated to every other entity (manufacturer, pilot, airports,...) in the system anywhere in the world. The 'systemic error' in this case could be one 'simple' loosened but (left inadvertently by the oversight of a maintenance mechanic or due to unforeseen behaviour of material in extreme conditions) which caused the major disaster. In the aircraft industry, these important lessons will never be swept under the carpet. Systems become robust and reliable over time through continuous learning loops (LEARNING ORGANIZATIONS).

I believe Systems Thinking is not theoretical as presumed by many harried operational managers. When effectively internalized by them, I am convinced it facilitates creative decision making and design of fault-tolerant systems. Systems Thinking is science and I enjoy teaching it now with chalk on the blackboard. SCIENCE SPEAKS 'SATYAM'.

KG Krishna
(C) 2010, KG Krishna

Sunday, October 4, 2009

“Customer to be in CONTROL of Service” – Digital Inventive Pattern #1

“The Internet Is Under New Management. YOURS” – boldly proclaims the full-page ad of Yahoo in today’s Time of India newspaper. It is a message—an eye opener—to all the entrepreneurs in the digital world to think beyond the usual business rhetoric that customer is an important stakeholder. In fact, the customer ‘controls’ your business—he(she) shapes it the way he desires, organizes it as per his convenience and even chooses to pay as per his affordability. C K Prahalad calls it ‘Co-Creation’ (each individual customer as a partner in the creation of his products/services with the firm.) For internet merchants it might manifest as personalization of websites as in ‘My Yahoo’ or ‘iGoogle’. Over the last 20 years of digital evolution and the emergence of internet businesses, this has become the dominant business paradigm that governs every customer-facing services business in the virtual world. It made me think why can’t we consider this as one of the Inventive Principles in our Structured Thinking methodology.

Putting this into the TRIZ mould, the contradiction can be specified as:
Customer To Be In Control (of his Experience) X Service Provider To Be In Control (of his Service)

Can we list down the Inventive Solutions (triggers, to be precise) to help us resolve this contradiction?
1. Personalization
2. ?
3. ?

Let’s think!

Regards,
KG Krishna
(C) Copyright 2009, KG Krishna
Gender Neutrality is assumed wherever 'He' or 'She' is used

Saturday, October 3, 2009

"Extend-Your-Thinking-Box" from INSIDE

'Please Think Out Of The Box'--we have heard this often, a worn-out management cliche, whenever our ideas become stale and out of novelty. The origin of this might be the famous 'Nine Dot puzzle' where one is asked to connect all the nine dots arranged in a square without lifting the pen. But for a good mind teaser for children to prick their friends it appears to me non-sensical from my structured thinking perspective. Everybody is unique and each of us have our own thinking space within which we 'think'. What I can see is what I can think (remember, the Nine-dot puzzle really allows you to see outside the nine dots if you chose to.) We search for solutions within our idea space (box). Therefore, if we visualize our individual thinking space as our own box with us at the centre, how can we even 'see' what is lying outside our box lest 'thinking' about it (unless the box is transparent allowing everyone to see the whole world of ideas out there, obviously not the case). What is the only thing one can do to see beyond the box (mind you, while being inside it)? Just break the walls, blow the box or expand the box. While the first two options connote 'radical behaviour (thinking) reserved for few mavericks', I prefer to use the phrase 'Expand Your Thinking Box' as the right metaphor for continuous enlargement of one's knowledge and thinking space--a la' STRCUTRED INVENTIVE THINKING for the ORDINARY (aam admi) wherein TRIZ methodology provides a great source of inspiration. BTW, I stopped using 'TOB' phrase and instead started using 'EYTB" ever since I discovered the beauty of TRIZ.


I define one's Thinking Box (in EYTB model) as having TWO dimensions: (X) (Extent of) Problem-Definition and (Y) Solution-Sophistication (with Origin as the Current Problem Statement and Top-of-the-mind Solution). At the exteme end of X-Axis (Problem Statement) is the IDEALITY (or Ideal Final Result in TRIZ terms) statement and the corresponding extreme on the Y-Axis defines 'Sophisticated Solution (or technology abstraction)'. There's enough technology (Solutions) available in the world to solve most of our problems if only we could learn how to define/redefine the problem and leverage existing knowledge/technology. Therefore, while the ability to Define/Redefine the problem (by looking farther at the IFR) is indicated as one of the dimension (X) of the Thinking Box, the skill to identify the corresponding elegant solution(s) by scanning the current knowledge base of the world (or using TRIZ tools) defines its second dimension (Y). We can converge to the most elegant (inventive) solution by analyzing all data points within that Box by starting the inventive search from IFR (from farther end of Problem-axis) and moving towards the 'reality' (Origin).

As we move away from the old paradigms of inventive thinking (dominated by psychological plays such as brainstorming, random word stimulation, etc.) to the new STRUCTURED THINKING paradigm inspired by TRIZ, I feel 'Expand Your Thinking Box' is the right catchword.

More about STRUCTURED THINKING and EYTB in my next blog. Glad to welcome your thoughts.

- KG Krishna

(C) Copyright 2009, KG Krishna

Sunday, September 20, 2009

"The Professional" and Crowdsensing of 'Satyam-like' Events

Yesterday, I received the much-awaited Book—The Professional (by Subroto Bagchi)--which I mail-ordered a week ago. I couldn’t help but gobble-up all the pages in one-hour go. Each and every paragraph connects with reality so much so that I felt as if I’m reeling my own experiences as I recollect and reflect on each message. Unlike the two earlier books by the same author, this book is structured as a set of touching messages with narrative of no more than two or three pages each. Though the author recommends reading it sequentially from the beginning to the end to imbibe that ‘professional formulae’, I find that even if one starts reading it by flipping to any random page I bet that he wouldn’t resist the temptation to switch back to the beginning and go non-stop till the end. I liked very much the presentation style, authenticity of the message and power of storytelling in this book, the only other book--somewhat similar in style--that came to my mind is ‘The Greatness Guide’ of Robin Sharma.

The section that I particularly paused, read and re-read was “The Responsibility of Dissent” and the example of ‘Satyam saga’. I find the author’s observations very insightful, analytical and thought-provoking for any professional who would find him/herself in situations where one is tempted to discount his/her conscience or professional judgment when playing ‘yes-man’ to the powers be. Let me quote the last paragraph which says,

“…When professionals get together, they assume that the purpose of every meeting is to get consensus. But consensus is not always beneficial and can sometimes lead to disasters. These can be avoided if each professional in a group exercises his responsibility of dissent and the purpose of the group’s decision making process is shifted from the urge to agree to doing the right thing.”

How true it is? We find such people everywhere—in government, politics, public and private sector as well. People would either like to ‘play safe’ by toeing the ‘official line’ or do not want to ‘rock-the-boat’ for fear of being shaken up or just preserve their position and power by shrugging off ‘why me? Let me be a good boy to my boss as long as I’m here’. This psychological atrophy (rightly ‘professional inebriety’) is cancerous particularly if the leader affected with that syndrome belongs to senior leadership in the organization, and worse off, if the CEO him/herself is the one who ‘shoots the messenger’ upon hearing a dissent or ‘bad news’ from any of his/her lieutenants. We know how British could rule India for more two centuries by subjugating the local rulers and Kings who over a period became subservient to the British in order to protect their local self-interests. But then, they (Kings) were many, scattered far and wide, and without any of modern communication technologies we today take for granted. However, in a democratic setup, and in today’s connected organizations where every news (rumour, fact or fiction) travels at the speed of light to the other side of the globe, making an assumption that ordinary citizens (or thousands of employees in any distributed organization) could not ‘guess’ that such a ‘catastrophic event’ (like ‘26/11’ or ‘9/11’ or ‘Satyam saga’) might occur anytime appears ‘irrational’ at least, in hindsight. Everything appears connected and logical in hindsight, right! Why did many ignore those early warnings coming from different directions?

Crowdsensing Weak Signals
For many of those in the middle management or employees on the shop-floor who are distantly connected with those ‘un-dissented evil decisions’, making sense of the resultant weak-signals and acting on them is certainly a challenge, which I hypothesize as the problem of ‘right brain vs. left brain’ thinking (this topic is beautifully covered by the author in the section ‘Logic or Emotion’).

How many times you heard your boss saying ‘Don’t just complain, show me the data or evidence. We need facts. It might be your personal opinion; others don’t feel that way’ or ‘don’t talk about the organization or other department’s problem, just mind your job’ or ‘demonstrate ownership, stop talking about issues, give me solutions’, etc. Intelligence is not just data. ‘Azhmal Kasab, a terrorist from Pakistan, will be arriving at Mumbai on 26th September and he will reach CST at 8:23PM and start firing at the passengers with an automatic rifle’—if this is the kind of data needed on 25th for the Mumbai police to act, think of who could give it, except the terrorist himself! Information is never complete for any decision making. Many times, we receive only weak-signals or just see smoke without precise information. However, managers (schooled in traditional MBA style thinking and decision making) have not been trained to ‘see beyond’ numbers. They (left brain thinkers) vouch for data, data and data and analysis and analysis (leading to paralysis). As Daniel Pink—the author of ‘A Whole New Mind’(also referred by Subroto) --says in his book that 21st century belongs to right brain thinkers.


A British Economist once said, “If a Measure becomes a Target, it ceases to be a Measure”. Roughly, what that means is that when people come to know how they get measured, they tend to game the system in their favour. We frequently conduct customer satisfaction surveys as part of our ISO 9000/CMMi compliant quality processes. How many of them do you sincerely feel ‘objective’ and the survey questionnaire not biased towards its benefactor-leader/department? Satyam has every certification or award under its belt. It received the global award for best corporate governance; couple of years ago it even got rated as the ‘#1 Best Employer’ in the survey by reputed HR consulting firm. Biased by hindsight, I am not contesting that the awards are not speaking the ‘facts’. For me, they just constitute one half (left-brained statistical analysis) of the totality which must be equally corroborated by ‘right-brained emotional’ survey. For example, in an organization of say, 50,000 people, the best way to ‘smell’ the ‘happiness’ (aka employee or customer satisfaction index in left-brained language) would be to listen to water-cooler conversations of people with their peers—their unbiased opinions, perceptions about their company, bosses, work, support groups or processes. A dip-stick (non-invasive) survey of around say, 100 people across the organization would certainly give a ‘non-numbered feel’ which can be used to validate the formal statistical surveys. For example, if you are a foreigner interested in understanding India, there are two ways you can go about: one, receive authentic and formal documents on Indian economy, Corruption Index, GDP, etc etc., from World Bank or Government websites, or spend couple of weeks living in a small town/city in India interacting with people and listening to their stories. Which one do you feel represents the ‘reality’? How do you make a ‘formal’ decision if you are to make some big investments in India?

Listening to unsolicited signals and acting on them requires right-brained thinking. While formal management reports, audit statements, and market research data from analysts feed your left-brain, you’ve to tune your other half of your brain too to receive and amplify weak-signals (‘noise’) in the form of informal opinions, perceptions, water-cooler conversations, blogs, and even rumours to form a holistic opinion of your world. ‘Experience’ is a right-brained word (in search of quantification by left-brained statistical analyzers). Therefore, perception is the reality as experienced by the real people who matter to us in the real world.

Can ‘Satyam-like’ events be predictable? If so, why did crowdsensing fail in Satyam case?

Actually, sensors (people) and signals will always be there in every organization. Depending on whether the organization is tilted toward right- or left-brained thinking, the quality of analysis and decision making might vary. In Satyam case, though we assume there’re only very few people at the top who actually got involved in the ‘act’ (as per the confession of Raju) or few aware of it (bystanders) and even including those responsible ‘innocent non-dissenters’ in board meetings, the fact that the rest of the management and leadership down below to the employee on the shop-floor could not make-sense for long and blow-the-whistle is clearly an interesting case-study in organizational psychology. Having lived in two large IT organizations during the last 15 years, I make my inference as follows:

Please note, employees are closest to the leadership of an organization than external investors or customers. More than anyone else, they could certainly have ample opportunities and time to ‘smell’ potential dangers, if their senses are not numbed.

Actually, smart sensors (people) are always there in every organization. They are sincere, honest, analytical, could connect the dots in any situation and smell potential problems lurking in the ‘near future’ (undefined though). Some of them may be emotional too (who unfortunately likely perceived as ‘non-factual’ by their left-brain centered bosses). Here lies the ability to separate genuine complaint by loyal employee from those of ‘chronic cribbers’ (non-committal, tuned-out individuals) Also the attitude of the leader (boss) to encourage open airing of issues of any kind without fear of punishment (do not shoot the messenger). Why do we encourage sharing of only good news and hush-up the bad news?

There will be zillion problems everywhere. If a leader receives ‘un-qualified’ complaints or concerns pertaining to the same problem from several of his/her team members, it’s certainly a smoke signal for a fire about to flare up somewhere in the near future. How soon the leader acts? Does he/she act at all? People look for visible action by the leadership. If the response does not come within reasonable period, people assume either indifference on the part of the leader (behaviour related) or active conniver (part of the problem itself) or start having self-doubts about their own assessment of the problem (‘I might be wrong, after all, my manager is more experienced and knowledgeable than me in assessing the correct state of things in the organization.’) A professional dilemma?


Even if the leader senses imminent danger (from the signals received from team members), is there a way for him/her to safely ‘escalate upwards’? What happens if he/she raises an alert via email or simply drops it in company’s ubiquitous suggestion/complaint box? How frequently such boxes (public grievances) get opened and issues addressed seriously (as per the Quality or scheduled management review processes)?

If the above mechanisms fail, is there a whistle-blowing policy in the company, wherein employees can post such potential threats or escalations (on even the top-leadership) to an independent third-party (board member or an agency)?

Who is monitoring the ‘unofficial and opinionated’ communication in public blogs and near water-coolers? If all internal formal mechanisms fail, people (at all levels) gravitate towards public messaging to vent out their frustrations. Take a look into the personal mail-box of CEO/chairman and examine all the communication received from employees levels below. Instead of treating that as ‘noise’, why can’t this be channeled to formal board meetings for sense-making by the board (right-brained food) as a supplement to their regular left-brained numbered thinking?
One doesn't have to be an accountant to feel and validate the numbers: By being an insider to an organization and living within its walls, it doesn't need much intelligence for any employee to assess, for example, the 'cost management' (as reflected in the outward behaviour)--how frugal or lavish in its spending, whether it can justifiable against revenues, etc etc, mostly by observing the environment around oneself. If crowds could sense that, then it must be an item worthy of escalation or 'whislte-blowing' to the top.

Divide-and-Rule Policy: Everything is connected to everything. Every group’s activity in the organization directly/indirectly impacts every other group’s activity/performance. Are we masking these dependencies (no systems thinking?) Like what our colonial rulers did during their rein in the erstwhile Indian empire, is the organization fragmented enough, thus creating many silos so that no single group/division can see the ‘big picture’ to draw conclusions?

Rethinking Confidentiality: Data confidentiality cannot become a cover for hiding poor performance. Let stakeholders start questioning everything the management says ‘confidential’. Think why should it be? What would be consequences if we let loose the information? Who are we afraid of?
Why exit will be the only option for many? In most instances, in an organization where crowdsensing is disabled, disgrunted employees (who could not find vent for their expression of dissent/discomfort) would either exit the system silently (ky keeping the valuable intelligence to themselves) or suffer professional burn-out and become unproductive in the long-run, in either case contributing to further decay of the system.

Like in the Satyam case, even if the top leader(s) are connived in the game of wrongdoing, crowds (employees, share holders) can easily sense and prevent disasters from happening by reacting much ahead. Crowdsensing works in this connected world. Let's enable it inside our organizations.


KG Krishna

Monday, September 14, 2009

On People, Dissent and Inventive Thinking

People, Process and Technology—if I were to prioritize these three pervasive elements in any organizational entity, I would order them as:

People First, Process Next and Technology, If Necessary (in that order)

My Structured Thinking framework takes into cognizance that People factor, no doubt, would be the single most contributor to facilitation or retardation of inventive thinking. In a traditional organization driven by manufacturing-era mindsets, everyone is treated like a cog-in-a-wheel and part of the rigid hierarchy; alignment and resonance are more encouraged than (positive) dissent and deviance. Yesterday, I happened to browse through an interesting book titled:
“Creating the Innovation Culture, Leveraging Visionaries, Dissenters and Other Useful Troublemakers in Your Organization” by Frances Horibe (Publisher: John Wiley). Unlike many books on Innovation which narrate tons of case-studies, heroic tales and innovation processes in organizations, this book delves on just one topic—dissenters as a useful resource of innovation.

  • Distinguishes positive dissent and ‘unhealthy’ dissent
  • The role of a manager as a political handler
  • Coaching dissenters
  • ...

Here are few insights (extracts) from the book:

“Most managers don’t realize they easily suppress dissent. Speaking truth to power is an important component of an innovative culture; managers may fear that dissent will create chaos but it is possible to welcome dissent while still moving forward.”

“I don’t shoot messengers—therefore I have them,” a wise CEO once said.

“Organizations that don’t allow dissent inadvertently discourage innovation. Dissent and innovation are opposites only in the same way exhaling and inhaling are. You must exhale to be able to inhale. You must have dissent to have innovation.”

May be an eye-opener for managers who flock themselves with ‘yes-men’ of ‘same values’!
Let’s have a dissent in our expression—albeit a positive and creative one (BTW, who qualifies that?)

KG Krishna

Sunday, September 13, 2009

Once bankers, now philosophers - India Business - Business - NEWS - The Times of India

Once bankers, now philosophers - India Business - Business - NEWS - The Times of India

“The meltdown is a reminder to everyone to put aside the deafening daily din and to put your ear to the inner voice and calling of life. One is here on earth for a unique purpose and your job cannot be your unique purpose unless it is a means to a different end.” laments a laid-off investment banker in the financial meltdown.

Mid-life crisis, meltdown trauma--call it whatever may, the present crisis is forcing many to 'reengineer' their inner operating systems for harmonious and meanignful existence in this tumultous world. Myself and several of my colleagues are desperately searching for their unique purpose and a sweet-spot to anchor their efforts during the recovery phase. Having spent nearly 25 years of my career in Indian IT organizations constantly adjusting my 'self' to the larger business goals of my employers, I feel that I have had lost opportunity to express my inner core--of conflicts, disagreements, half-truths and honest opinions. Thanks to the blogosphere, I could configure this blog-site (ThinkPROCESS) in few minutes and start blogging from today on my personal mission "Democratising Inventive Thinking".

'Think Process' is not 'thinking about process', but the 'process of thinking' itself. Hence, it's not an oxymoron as many who have been schooled in the traditional brainstorming paradigm of unstructuredness and serendipity might ague. Yes, like structured methodologies of Project Management, we can have a structure and sequence to the process of generating ideas. Those who are working in the digital domain (ICT industry) can clearly visualise the emergence of this 'think process paradigm' in solving problems using ICT. Inspired by TRIZ--a Structured Inventive Thinking Methodology pioneered by Generic Altshuller, Patent Examiner in the erstwhile Soviet Navy--we shall discuss how can we leverage some of his key concepts to arrive at a tailored framework to foster inventive thinking among architects/designers in the ICT industry.

Welcome to my Blog, we look forward to exciting and creative dialogue on this important topic.
Regards,
KG Krishna